The Turning Point of 2022: Global Trends of International Cooperation in the Short and Medium Term
https://doi.org/10.56654/ROPI-2023-2(7)-204-217
Abstract
The article discusses the current formats of international cooperation after the start of a special military operation of the Russian Federation on the territory of Ukraine. It is concluded that the beginning of the CSR became a catalyst for global changes, the transition of the world from a system of globalization and a rules-based order to a new system of macro[1]regions and a system of states-civilizations. The methods of discourse analysis and event analysis are used to examine global trends, among which are the curtailment of globalization processes, the gradual departure from the Jamaican monetary system, and geopolitical instability. With the help of system and intent analysis, prospective future macro-regional associations are studied: European, American, Asian, Middle Eastern, African, Eurasian. Conclusions are drawn about the future fate of the geopolitical leaders – the United States, China, Russia, and the European Union. It is summarized that the United States is in a deep political and civilizational crisis; it seems possible to «reset» this country, including in the version of a new civil war. It is said that the European Union is losing its economic and political sovereignty in favor of the United States. Russia is regarded as a civilization country with more than a thousand years of history, which takes the course of prioritizing national interests over an unfair rules-based order, which gives it the opportunity to take advantageous positions in the future system of international relations.
Keywords
international relations,
the global economic crisis,
the crisis of the development phase,
multipolarity,
the new world order
Supporting agencies: The author of the articles expresses his gratitude to the research director – Natalya P. Arapova, CandSc (Polit.)
About the Author
V. S. Shishmonin
Institute of Finances and Sustainable Development of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Vladimir S. Shishmonin, student of Institute of Finances and Sustainable Development
Moscow
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Review
For citations:
Shishmonin V.S. The Turning Point of 2022: Global Trends of International Cooperation in the Short and Medium Term. Russia: Society, Politics, History. 2023;(2(7)):204-217. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.56654/ROPI-2023-2(7)-204-217
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